Career assessments

With the players who were in the majors at the start of Gleeman World having nine seasons under their belts, I thought it would be fun to check the chances of some of the best players reaching some of the biggest milestones.

Here are some results using Bill James' Favorite Toy (http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/assessments). All percentages are based on stats accumulated through season 9.

Matt Governale

Governale has a 49.4 percent chance of reaching 3,000 hits; a 19.6 percent chance of getting 3,500 hits and a 3.5 percent chance of reaching 4,000 hits.

He has an 80.6 percent chance of hitting 800 home runs; a 45.6 percent chance of hitting 900 homers and a 25.4 percent chance of hitting 1,000 homers.

He has a 62.7 percent chance of reaching 2,298 RBI and a 42.1 percent chance of driving in 2,500 runs.

He has a 50.5 percent chance of scoring 2,000 runs; a 22.5 percent chance of scoring 2,296 runs and a 10.8 percent chance of scoring 2,500 runs.

Chipper Velandia

Velandia has a 42.1 percent chance of reach 3,000 hits and a 17.3 percent chance of getting to 3,500 hits.

He has an 85.3 percent chance of hitting 800 home runs; a 51.2 percent chance of hitting 900 homers and a 30.9 percent chance of hitting 1,000 homers.

He has an 87.6 percent chance of reaching 2,000 RBI; a 47.8 percent chance of getting to 2,298 RBI and a 31.8 percent chance of driving in 2,500 runs.

Bernard Rhodes

Rhodes has a 31.7 percent chance of reaching 3,000 hits.

Doug Rueter

Rueter has a 53.4 percent chance of reaching 600 doubles; a 24.7 percent chance of reaching 700 doubles and a 9.4 percent chance of reaching 793 doubles.

Marino Reyes

Reyes has a 78.4 percent chance of stealing 1,200 bases; a 42.1 percent chance of stealing 1,500 bases and a 12.6 percent chance of stealing 2,000 bases.

John Carroll

Carroll has a 37.2 percent chance of winning 300 games and a 14.4 percent chance of winning 350 games.

He has a 65.5 percent chance of reaching 3,500 strikeouts; a 36.9 percent chance of reaching 4,000 strikeouts and an 8.2 percent chance of reaching 5,000 strikeouts.

Don Masato

Masato has a 19.4 percent chance of winning 300 games.

He has a 52.8 percent chance of reaching 3,000 strikeouts and a 17.4 percent chance of reaching 3,500 strikeouts.

Gerald Tomlinson

Tomlinson has a 32.4 percent chance of winning 300 games and a 13.6 percent chance of winning 350 games.

Ruben Crespo

Crespo has a 19.4 percent chance of winning 300 games.

Kelvin Sullivan

Sullivan has a 21.7 percent chance of winning 300 games.

Lawrence Edwards

Edwards has a 65.8 percent chance of saving 450 games; a 40.9 percent chance of saving 500 games and a 13.5 percent chance of saving 600 games.